Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $488,236$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{529,770.0}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 142.4)}}\) (asimptote \(529,770.0\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $27,888$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{36,315.6}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 169.2)}}\) (asimptote \(36,315.6\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $61,048$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $394,566$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{490,989.6}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 179.4)}}\) (asimptote \(490,989.6\))
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,683$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,710.5}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 149.5)}}\) (asimptote \(9,710.5\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $61,068$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $285,336$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,864$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $61,901$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $104,129$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{93,946.1}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 127.6)}}\) (asimptote \(93,946.1\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,009$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,083.8}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 137.2)}}\) (asimptote \(1,083.8\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $11,389$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $48,342$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{45,241.3}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 121.4)}}\) (asimptote \(45,241.3\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,073$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,188.4}{1 + 10^{-0.722 (t - 106.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,188.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,312$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $74,422$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{78,635.0}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 156.2)}}\) (asimptote \(78,635.0\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $264$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{254.9}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 131.3)}}\) (asimptote \(254.9\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,747$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $109,441$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{110,423.9}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 141.7)}}\) (asimptote \(110,423.9\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $642$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{584.0}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 79.4)}}\) (asimptote \(584.0\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,485$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $338,132$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333,305.9}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 105.3)}}\) (asimptote \(333,305.9\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,972$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,003.7}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 117.7)}}\) (asimptote \(5,003.7\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,391$ on 2020-10-08